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UK market view: Q3 2023

Construction continues to grow amidst considerable headwinds 

 

Key takeaways

Mace maintains its 2023 tender price forecast at 3.0% for London and 3.5% for the rest of the UK

Construction output increased by 0.3% in Q2 2023, driven by repairs and maintenance

The industry faces challenges from high inflation, interest rates, and political uncertainty

UK market view: Q3 2023

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The last three months have seen the economy continue to (just about) grow. GDP rose 0.2% in the second quarter, with construction output rising 0.3%. It is hard to describe such performance as anything better than modest, and it appears doubtful that conditions will pick-up anytime soon.  

While pay is now growing faster than inflation, real incomes are lower than they were at the end of 2021. With interest rates continuing to rise, and a growing number of households remortgaging at higher rates, pressures on spending remain problematic.  

None of this is surprising, and nothing has noticeably improved or worsened since our previous report. As a result, and against such a backdrop, we are leaving our tender price forecasts unchanged.  

This is not to say that we are complacent about the challenges facing construction. Download our Q3 market view to find out more. 

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